Triangular Treasure Maps - Quarterly


GLD's Quarterly MPO Projection

January 2023

For Benchmark members, we have GLD's Quarterly Chart which provides:

  • GLD's MPO (minimum price objective)
  • A date range for this to occur
  • A gold equivalent price
This is primarily beneficial to those who want to focus on a larger "paycheck" and have a longer term investment horizon.

For those below, there has been an 86.9% success rate so far. I expect 95% in time.

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Historical Quarterly Results
Some Still in Progress

"It's certainly nice to have a portfolio that is doing well. It's quite another to know the minimum price projection for each stock." -TG

Introduction

After a long downward monthly trend, the Benchmark PTD formula, in conjunction with a new positive monthly trend change, is a very reliable method for making price predictions for any stock or index. This formula results in a defined  MPO (minimum price objective) and an estimated time (1 - 4 years) to get there.

Monthly MPO's and their results were also discussed in Part 3 of the Independence Gold Mine series.


This is primarily beneficial to those who want a larger "paycheck" and have a longer term horizon and focus.

In this context, all new daily trends are bought provided there are continuing positive weekly and monthly trends present.


The monthly context is great. What about quarterly trends?

Triangular Treasure Maps - Quarterly

No one bothers much with monthly trends which provides the context for longer and more reliable projections. There is even less interest in the quarterly. However, quarterly trends are 3x stronger than the monthly.

An MPO at the quarterly level is calculated by doubling the size of the difference between original monthly trend change and its monthly MPO, already achieved. An additional predictive form of triangulation has occurred. 

Again, this is primarily beneficial for those who have a longer term outlook.

Here is a historical example completed in 2016


Among many others in 2016, there were two other stocks with incomplete quarterly triangular projections.

SAND


SAND  arrived at its quarterly projection. See chart July 2020

NG



NG arrived at its $10.00+ quarterly projection in August 2020

Waiting in the wings are several others including: 
  • First Majestic (AG) 
  • Pretium Resources (PVG) (11/9/21 Newcrest takeover)
  • Premiere Gold Mines (PG.TO) (4/7/21 Equinox Gold takeover) 
  • International Tower Hill (THM)
  • Vista Gold (VGZ), 
All are projecting substantially higher prices (2-3x current prices), in time. There has been an 85% success rate so far.

In Summary

This is a time frame trend force to be reckoned with long term and is part of the Benchmark PTD, a longer term world class trading system found nowhere else. 

Results are not guaranteed since we are only dealing in probabilities. However, a worthwhile strategy is to buy all new daily trends within the context of positive longer term time frame trends. Probabilities favor this approach.

Trader Garrett

8/8/20 (Takeover results updated Nov 2021)

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The Strength & Mystery of Triangles - Click here

The Power of Triangles - Click here

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Caveat

While past performance and probabilities are favorable, results are not guaranteed. Use these trade plans, stocks or comments at your own risk. All analytical content and commentary provided within or from this site is aimed purely to educate or inform readers on the potential technical and fundamental aspects and possible value of intelligent, mathematically based research tools and charts for due diligence purposes.

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