In our February S&P500 article here, we noted that Finviz showed:
- 64% of stocks above their 200 day MA
- 58.8% are above the 50 day MA
Those results have since deteriorated to:
- 59.8% above the 200 day MA
- 35.6% above the 50 day MA
Benchmark's daily S&P500 trend is negative but all other higher primary time frame trends are still in a positive posture.
Similarly, lesser known indexes have this daily record. Click to enlarge.
A technical bear market cannot begin without a minimum negative weekly trend being present and that event has not yet occurred. Theoretically, it could occur by the end of May but requires more evidence.
In Summary
Yes, there are profound valuation problems everywhere but positive time frame postures take precedent.
Let's
see what happens between now and the end of May. All else is speculation.
4/27/24
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